I do not think replacing David Cameron before the election is a good idea. I don't think Cameron has done a good job with his party but he has done okay on the national front given its a coalition and terrible times.
The press seem to think there is some discontent in the party. The press are wrong its more than that, many Tory MP's and Tory members are fuming. They see certain electoral defeat, they have no idea of Cameron's direction and they hate seeing the party apparatus whither on the vine or defect to UKIP.
While they have a point especially about the death of the party machine outside central office it is madness to change leader now. Problem number one - who else is there? Problem number two - the speculation itself is very damaging. Problem number three - it might just cause an early election. I just don't see it happening. A night of the long knifes would be disastrous.
Discontent will remain as a large number of Tory MP's know they are going to lose their seats and blame him. Equally lots of party faithful now have to sit day in day out listening to friends and family who have joined UKIP and don't like it.
Cameron should be ignoring all this speculation. He spent years walking around Westminster espousing his view that he would be a one term Tory and he's right he will be (in fact not even that as he's in coalition). He needs to finish the job on the economy, welfare and education as they will be his legacy. However it probably still all irks him a great deal.
He should try talking to people in his party. That would be a start, but he has never really appeared to do that.
Still we shall have rumours all year helped by the May local elections and euro elections next year which it seems will no doubt see the great advance of UKIP.
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